Saturday, March 8, 2008

The Internet gets a heavy tail

(Click to enlarge)

The above plot shows the growth of the Internet in the World, again from UN data. There are 3 histograms (2004, 2001, 1998) of the number of countries (Y axis) vs. the size of the Internet population in the countries (X axis). I have left out the countries with less than 1m users because they are the vast majority in the data - partly due to low Internet adoption in backward areas and partly due to small populations.

The key points seen immediately
  1. The number of Internet users is (surprise surprise) growing rapidly over the years.
  2. USA leads every other country, but since the total US population is only about 300m (see my previous post), US Internet users' growth is saturating.
  3. On the other hand, China is growing very quickly. I suppose by 2008 (present) the number of users there must have got close to the US number (if not ahead).
But lets look at a more holistic trend here. This is the "long fat tail" that shows up in the 2004 data - the bars concentrated on the left hand side have started spreading out to the right in the 2004 histogram. This means that the Internet is increasingly becoming multinational with a significant representation of people from many countries, bringing up these questions
  1. Where is the Internet content suitable for people from different cultures and not just western cultures?
  2. Are we doing enough to localize Internet applications for these large multicultural groups joining the Internet?
Finally, for those interested, here is a table showing the number of Internet users, as reported by the most recent data from UN Statistics (2004). I have ranked the countries based on the number of Internet users in the rightmost columns of the table. Again, if you look at the top 10 countries in this table, only 2 have a high number of English native speakers. In addition, 5 out of the top 10 countries are not "Northern hemisphere western countries".

Please use this data only after citing the UN source.




Country #Internet users Rank (2004)
United States 185000000 1
China 94000000 2
Japan 64160000 3
United Kingdom 37600000 4
Germany 35200000 5
India 35000000 6
Korea, Republic of 31580000 7
Italy 28870000 8
France 25000000 9
Brazil 22000000 10
Canada 20000000 11
Russian Federation 16000000 12
Indonesia 14508000 13
Spain 14332800 14
Mexico 14036500 15
Australia 13000000 16
Turkey 10220000 17
Netherlands 10000000 18
Malaysia 9879000 19
Poland 9000000 20
Thailand 6972000 21
Sweden 6800000 22
Argentina 6153600 23
Viet Nam 5870000 24
Iran (Islamic Republic of) 5500000 25
Czech Republic 5100000 26
Romania 4500000 27
Philippines 4400000 28
Chile 4300000 29
Belgium 4200000 30
Colombia 4050240 31
Austria 3900000 32
Egypt 3900000 33
Ukraine 3750000 34
South Africa 3566000 35
Morocco 3500000 36
Switzerland 3500000 37
China, Hong Kong Special Administrative Region 3479700 38
Finland 3286000 39
Peru 3220000 40
Israel 3200000 41
Portugal 2951000 42
Denmark 2725000 43
Hungary 2700000 44
Belarus 2461090 45
Singapore 2421780 46
Venezuela 2312680 47
Slovakia 2276060 48
New Zealand 2110000 49
Pakistan 2000000 50
Greece 1955000 51
Norway 1792000 52
Nigeria 1769660 53
Saudi Arabia 1586000 54
Serbia and Montenegro 1517020 55
Kenya 1500000 56
United Arab Emirates 1384840 57
Croatia 1303000 58
Bulgaria 1234000 59
Ireland 1198000 60
Sudan 1140000 61
Jamaica 1067000 62
Costa Rica 1000000 63
Lithuania 968000 64
Slovenia 950000 65
Uzbekistan 880000 66
Puerto Rico 862000 67
Tunisia 835000 68
Zimbabwe 820000 69
Latvia 810000 70
Dominican Republic 800000 71
Syrian Arab Republic 800000 72
Guatemala 756000 73
Uruguay 680000 74
Estonia 670000 75
Ecuador 624579 76
Jordan 600000 77
Kuwait 600000 78
Lebanon 600000 79
El Salvador 587475 80
Algeria 500000 81
Haiti 500000 82
Senegal 482000 83
Azerbaijan 408000 84
Republic of Moldova 406000 85
Kazakhstan 400000 86
Ghana 368000 87
Bolivia 350000 88
United Republic of Tanzania 333000 89
Malta 301000 90
Bangladesh 300000 91
Panama 300000 92
Cyprus 298000 93
Sri Lanka 280000 94
Luxembourg 270810 95
Kyrgyzstan 263000 96
Oman 245000 97
Cote d'Ivoire 240000 98
Zambia 231000 99
Iceland 225610 100
Bosnia and Herzegovina 225000 101
Honduras 222273 102
Togo 221000 103
Libyan Arab Jamahiriya 205000 104
Mongolia 200000 105
Reunion 200000 106
Uganda 200000 107
Mauritius 180000 108
Yemen 180000 109
Georgia 175600 110
Angola 172000 111
Papua New Guinea 170000 112
Cameroon 167000 113
Qatar 165000 114
Occupied Palestinian Territory 160000 115
Trinidad and Tobago 160000 116
The former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia 159000 117
Bahrain 152721 118
Armenia 150000 119
Barbados 150000 120
China, Macao Special Administrative Region 150000 121
Cuba 150000 122
Paraguay 150000 123
Guyana 145000 124
Mozambique 138000 125
Nicaragua 125000 126
Nepal 120000 127
Ethiopia 113000 128
Martinique 107000 129
Benin 100000 130
Bahamas 93000 131
Madagascar 90000 132
Guadeloupe 79000 133
Guam 79000 134
Namibia 75000 135
New Caledonia 70000 136
Myanmar 63688 137
Fiji 61000 138
Botswana 60000 139
Brunei Darussalam 56000 140
Saint Lucia 55000 141
Burkina Faso 53200 142
Democratic Republic of the Congo 50000 143
Eritrea 50000 144
Mali 50000 145
Gambia 49000 146
Malawi 46140 147
Guinea 46000 148
French Polynesia 45000 149
Lesotho 43000 150
Cambodia 41000 151
Gabon 40000 152
Bermuda 39000 153
French Guiana 38000 154
Greenland 38000 155
Rwanda 38000 156
Congo 36000 157
Iraq 36000 158
Swaziland 36000 159
Turkmenistan 36000 160
Belize 35000 161
Chad 35000 162
Faeroe Islands 32000 163
Suriname 30000 164
United States Virgin Islands 30000 165
Guinea-Bissau 26000 166
Burundi 25000 167
Cape Verde 25000 168
Aruba 24000 169
Niger 24000 170
Liechtenstein 22000 171
Lao People's Democratic Republic 20900 172
Dominica 20500 173
Antigua and Barbuda 20000 174
Bhutan 20000 175
Sao Tome and Principe 20000 176
Seychelles 20000 177
Grenada 19000 178
Maldives 19000 179
San Marino 15000 180
Somalia 15000 181
Mauritania 14000 182
Micronesia, Federated States of 12000 183
Andorra 11000 184
Saint Kitts and Nevis 10000 185
Sierra Leone 10000 186
Central African Republic 9000 187
Djibouti 9000 188
Comoros 8000 189
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines 8000 190
Vanuatu 7500 191
Gibraltar 6295 192
Samoa 6000 193
Equatorial Guinea 5000 194
Tajikistan 5000 195
Palau 4000 196
Solomon Islands 3000 197
Tonga 3000 198
Tuvalu 3000 199
Kiribati 2000 200
Marshall Islands 2000 201
Netherlands Antilles 2000 202
Cayman Islands 1300 203
Liberia 1000 204
Nauru 300 205
Korea, Democratic People's Republic of 0 206

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